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Two In Five Americans Say A Civil War Is At Least Somewhat Likely In The NExt Decade

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New polling by the Economist and YouGov asked Americans about changes in the U.S. political climate, including whether divisions have worsened and what they expect in the future. We find that most Americans believe divisions have gotten worse since the start of 2021 and most expect them to grow in the coming years. Two in five Americans believe a civil war is at least somewhat likely in the next decade; Republicans are more likely than Democrats to expect civil war.

Two-thirds of Americans (66%) believe that political divisions in this country have gotten worse since the beginning of 2021, compared to only 8% who say the country has grown less divided. Few see things improving in the coming years: 62% expect an increase in political divisions. 

A similar share (63%) to the proportion who say political divisions have worsened (66%) say political violence has increased since the start of 2021. Three in five Americans (60%) anticipate an increase in political violence in the next few years and only 9% expect political violence to decline.

 

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Take note: This was published in 2022. Do you think it's an accurate assessment, or perhaps even more accurate now than it was in 2022?

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This Country started with the American Revolution, stayed whole with the Civil War, so I would not be surprised if “something” were to happen in the next few years.   Things are not better, in my opinion, there is too much division now.

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I'd say anything is possible at this point. 

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A decade , no with the divisiveness we are experiencing right now I see something happening sooner ! One has only to look outside of their own space to see  whats being allowed to happen all over this Country . Rampant crime and corruption which is only getting worse , illegal immigration , has anyone else seen the number of young men coming across the border ? And this Damn Election is driving a wedge between most of us ! Let’s just get it over with FFS I am so damn over it !! 
If it comes down to a civil war it won’t be you and myself to blame , in the final analysis it will have been the Government that brought us to it ! 

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